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UEFA Nations League · 100,000 simulations

Croatia vs Czech Republic prediction

We simulated Croatia vs Czech Republic 100,000 times. Croatia won 60,716 of them (60.7%), the draw came up 21.8% of the time and Czech Republic won 17.5%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.3%), and both teams score in 53.1% of simulations.

Croatia badge
Croatia Home
Sunday 15 November
Czech Republic badge
Czech Republic Away
60.7% 60,716 wins
21.8% Draw
17.5% 17,509 wins
Expected goals
1.99 – 0.96
Likeliest score
2-0 10.3%
Both score
53.1%
Over 2.5
56.3%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated

Croatia vs Czech Republic in numbers 100,000 simulations · UEFA Nations League · Sunday 15 November, 19:45

Croatia vs Czech Republic simulation probabilities
Croatia win60.7%
Draw21.8%
Czech Republic win17.5%
Most likely score2-0 (10.3%)
Expected goals1.99 – 0.96
Both teams to score53.1%
Over 1.5 goals79.2%
Over 2.5 goals56.3%
Over 3.5 goals34.2%
Croatia score first64.2%
Czech Republic score first30.1%
Croatia clean sheet38.5%
Czech Republic clean sheet14.1%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420725786
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Croatia vs Czech Republic prediction FAQs

Who will win Croatia vs Czech Republic?

Croatia are favourites. They win 60.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.8% for the draw and 17.5% for Czech Republic. Including the draw, Croatia avoid defeat 82.5% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Croatia vs Czech Republic?

2-0, which came up in 10.3% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (10.2%) and 1-0 (10.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Croatia vs Czech Republic?

Both teams score in 53.1% of simulations. Croatia keep a clean sheet 38.5% of the time and Czech Republic 14.1%.

How many goals will there be in Croatia vs Czech Republic?

The simulations average 2.95 goals: 1.99 for Croatia and 0.96 for Czech Republic. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.3% and over 3.5 goals 34.2%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.