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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo 100,000 times. Real Madrid won 77,268 of them (77.3%), the draw came up 14.8% of the time and Celta de Vigo won 7.9%. The most likely score is 2-0 (12.2%), and both teams score in 47% of simulations.
| Real Madrid win | 77.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 14.8% |
| Celta de Vigo win | 7.9% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (12.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.60 – 0.71 |
| Both teams to score | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.2% |
| Real Madrid score first | 78.3% |
| Celta de Vigo score first | 17.8% |
| Real Madrid clean sheet | 49.3% |
| Celta de Vigo clean sheet | 7.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654524 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Real Madrid are favourites. They win 77.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 14.8% for the draw and 7.9% for Celta de Vigo. Including the draw, Real Madrid avoid defeat 92.1% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 12.2% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (10.5%) and 1-0 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47% of simulations. Real Madrid keep a clean sheet 49.3% of the time and Celta de Vigo 7.8%.
The simulations average 3.32 goals: 2.60 for Real Madrid and 0.71 for Celta de Vigo. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.9% and over 3.5 goals 42.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
