NEW
Introducing New Bet Builder Tool
4 Nov 2026
Build bet builders with the stats switched on. This new innovative tool combines the UI you are familiar with when you place bet builders a…
BETA
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
30 Oct 2026
VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
UPDATE
UI/UX Improvements And Asian Handicap Support
15 Nov 2026
- UI/UX Improvements Across /App - Asian Handicap Support on Bet Tracking
VIDEO
The Predictions Show: Nations League & EFL
13 Nov 2026
🗣️ No major European leagues? No problem. Join founder Joe as he looks through some of the biggest games this weekend from the Nations Leag…
NEW
5 New Livescore Page Updates
12 Nov 2026
1. A new dropdown allowing you to jump to related or popular fixtures 2. Quickly view /simulations, and /bet-builder pages for a specific f…
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated FC Barcelona vs Villarreal 100,000 times. FC Barcelona won 76,707 of them (76.7%), the draw came up 14.5% of the time and Villarreal won 8.8%. The most likely score is 3-1 (8%), and both teams score in 62.8% of simulations.
| FC Barcelona win | 76.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 14.5% |
| Villarreal win | 8.8% |
| Most likely score | 3-1 (8%) |
| Expected goals | 3.13 – 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | 62.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 59.8% |
| FC Barcelona score first | 75.6% |
| Villarreal score first | 21.9% |
| FC Barcelona clean sheet | 35% |
| Villarreal clean sheet | 4.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654676 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Barcelona are favourites. They win 76.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 14.5% for the draw and 8.8% for Villarreal. Including the draw, FC Barcelona avoid defeat 91.2% of the time.
3-1, which came up in 8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (7.8%) and 3-0 (7.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.8% of simulations. FC Barcelona keep a clean sheet 35% of the time and Villarreal 4.7%.
The simulations average 4.19 goals: 3.13 for FC Barcelona and 1.06 for Villarreal. Over 1.5 goals lands 92.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 78.3% and over 3.5 goals 59.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
