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  1. Simulations
  2. Bundesliga
  3. FC Bayern München vs FC Köln
Bundesliga · 100,000 simulations

FC Bayern München vs FC Köln prediction

We simulated FC Bayern München vs FC Köln 100,000 times. FC Bayern München won 89,082 of them (89.1%), the draw came up 7.1% of the time and FC Köln won 3.8%. The most likely score is 3-0 (10.1%), and both teams score in 49% of simulations.

FC Bayern München badge
FC Bayern München Allianz Arena
Friday 20 November
FC Köln badge
FC Köln Away
89.1% 89,082 wins
7.1% Draw
3.8% 3,815 wins
Expected goals
3.71 – 0.71
Likeliest score
3-0 10.1%
Both score
49%
Over 2.5
81%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Allianz Arena, Munich

FC Bayern München vs FC Köln in numbers 100,000 simulations · Bundesliga · Friday 20 November, 19:30

FC Bayern München vs FC Köln simulation probabilities
FC Bayern München win89.1%
Draw7.1%
FC Köln win3.8%
Most likely score3-0 (10.1%)
Expected goals3.71 – 0.71
Both teams to score49%
Over 1.5 goals92.9%
Over 2.5 goals81%
Over 3.5 goals63.7%
FC Bayern München score first84.7%
FC Köln score first14%
FC Bayern München clean sheet49.5%
FC Köln clean sheet2.7%

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Elversberg SC Freiburg 1.5–1.7 xG 62% Over 2.5 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Dortmund 1.2–2.0 xG 63% Over 2.5 FC Union Berlin RB Leipzig 1.3–2.0 xG 63% Over 2.5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Paderborn 2.6–0.9 xG 67% Over 2.5 Eintracht Frankfurt TSG Hoffenheim 2.0–1.6 xG 69% Over 2.5 Schalke 04 VfB Stuttgart 1.3–1.8 xG 59% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

FC Bayern München vs FC Köln prediction FAQs

Who will win FC Bayern München vs FC Köln?

FC Bayern München are favourites. They win 89.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 7.1% for the draw and 3.8% for FC Köln. Including the draw, FC Bayern München avoid defeat 96.2% of the time.

What is the most likely score in FC Bayern München vs FC Köln?

3-0, which came up in 10.1% of simulations. Next are 4-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in FC Bayern München vs FC Köln?

Both teams score in 49% of simulations. FC Bayern München keep a clean sheet 49.5% of the time and FC Köln 2.7%.

How many goals will there be in FC Bayern München vs FC Köln?

The simulations average 4.42 goals: 3.71 for FC Bayern München and 0.71 for FC Köln. Over 1.5 goals lands 92.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 81% and over 3.5 goals 63.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.