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  1. Simulations
  2. Bundesliga
  3. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig
Bundesliga · 100,000 simulations

FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig prediction

We simulated FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig 100,000 times. RB Leipzig won 53,778 of them (53.8%), the draw came up 22.8% of the time and FC Union Berlin won 23.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.2%, while the likeliest RB Leipzig win is 1-2 (9.4%). Both teams score in 62.4% of simulations.

FC Union Berlin badge
FC Union Berlin Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Saturday 21 November
RB Leipzig badge
RB Leipzig Away
23.5% 23,449 wins
22.8% Draw
53.8% 53,778 wins
Expected goals
1.27 – 2.02
Likeliest score
1-1 10.2% Top RB Leipzig win: 1-2 9.4%
Both score
62.4%
Over 2.5
63.4%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin

FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig in numbers 100,000 simulations · Bundesliga · Saturday 21 November, 14:30

FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig simulation probabilities
FC Union Berlin win23.5%
Draw22.8%
RB Leipzig win53.8%
Most likely score1-1 (10.2%)
Expected goals1.27 – 2.02
Both teams to score62.4%
Over 1.5 goals84.2%
Over 2.5 goals63.4%
Over 3.5 goals41.6%
FC Union Berlin score first40.3%
RB Leipzig score first55.3%
FC Union Berlin clean sheet13.8%
RB Leipzig clean sheet28.4%

More Bundesliga simulations

FC Bayern München FC Köln 3.7–0.7 xG 81% Over 2.5 Elversberg SC Freiburg 1.5–1.7 xG 62% Over 2.5 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Dortmund 1.2–2.0 xG 63% Over 2.5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Paderborn 2.6–0.9 xG 67% Over 2.5 Eintracht Frankfurt TSG Hoffenheim 2.0–1.6 xG 69% Over 2.5 Schalke 04 VfB Stuttgart 1.3–1.8 xG 59% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420679087
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig prediction FAQs

Who will win FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?

RB Leipzig are favourites. They win 53.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.8% for the draw and 23.5% for FC Union Berlin. Including the draw, RB Leipzig avoid defeat 76.6% of the time.

What is the most likely score in FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?

1-1, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win is 1-2 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?

Both teams score in 62.4% of simulations. FC Union Berlin keep a clean sheet 13.8% of the time and RB Leipzig 28.4%.

How many goals will there be in FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?

The simulations average 3.29 goals: 1.27 for FC Union Berlin and 2.02 for RB Leipzig. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.4% and over 3.5 goals 41.6%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.