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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Elversberg vs SC Freiburg 100,000 times. SC Freiburg won 41,957 of them (42%), the draw came up 25.6% of the time and Elversberg won 32.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.5%, while the likeliest SC Freiburg win is 1-2 (8.7%). Both teams score in 63.9% of simulations.
| Elversberg win | 32.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.6% |
| SC Freiburg win | 42% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.48 – 1.71 |
| Both teams to score | 63.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.6% |
| Elversberg score first | 50.6% |
| SC Freiburg score first | 44% |
| Elversberg clean sheet | 18.5% |
| SC Freiburg clean sheet | 23.1% |
FC Bayern München
FC Köln
3.7–0.7
xG
81%
Over 2.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Dortmund
1.2–2.0
xG
63%
Over 2.5
FC Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
1.3–2.0
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Paderborn
2.6–0.9
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Eintracht Frankfurt
TSG Hoffenheim
2.0–1.6
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Schalke 04
VfB Stuttgart
1.3–1.8
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420678974 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
SC Freiburg are favourites. They win 42% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.6% for the draw and 32.4% for Elversberg. Including the draw, SC Freiburg avoid defeat 67.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.5% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.7%) and 2-1 (7.6%). The likeliest SC Freiburg win is 1-2 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63.9% of simulations. Elversberg keep a clean sheet 18.5% of the time and SC Freiburg 23.1%.
The simulations average 3.19 goals: 1.48 for Elversberg and 1.71 for SC Freiburg. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.6% and over 3.5 goals 39.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.