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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart 100,000 times. VfB Stuttgart won 46,471 of them (46.5%), the draw came up 25.7% of the time and Schalke 04 won 27.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.8%, while the likeliest VfB Stuttgart win is 1-2 (9.2%). Both teams score in 61.1% of simulations.
| Schalke 04 win | 27.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.7% |
| VfB Stuttgart win | 46.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.32 – 1.75 |
| Both teams to score | 61.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.8% |
| Schalke 04 score first | 36.5% |
| VfB Stuttgart score first | 57.5% |
| Schalke 04 clean sheet | 17.8% |
| VfB Stuttgart clean sheet | 27.2% |
FC Bayern München
FC Köln
3.7–0.7
xG
81%
Over 2.5
Elversberg
SC Freiburg
1.5–1.7
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Dortmund
1.2–2.0
xG
63%
Over 2.5
FC Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
1.3–2.0
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Paderborn
2.6–0.9
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Eintracht Frankfurt
TSG Hoffenheim
2.0–1.6
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679204 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
VfB Stuttgart are favourites. They win 46.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.7% for the draw and 27.8% for Schalke 04. Including the draw, VfB Stuttgart avoid defeat 72.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.8% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest VfB Stuttgart win is 1-2 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.1% of simulations. Schalke 04 keep a clean sheet 17.8% of the time and VfB Stuttgart 27.2%.
The simulations average 3.07 goals: 1.32 for Schalke 04 and 1.75 for VfB Stuttgart. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.9% and over 3.5 goals 36.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.