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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund 100,000 times. Borussia Dortmund won 54,814 of them (54.8%), the draw came up 22.5% of the time and Borussia Mönchengladbach won 22.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.1%, while the likeliest Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 (9.5%). Both teams score in 61.3% of simulations.
| Borussia Mönchengladbach win | 22.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.5% |
| Borussia Dortmund win | 54.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.23 – 2.01 |
| Both teams to score | 61.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.6% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach score first | 37.6% |
| Borussia Dortmund score first | 57.6% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach clean sheet | 13.8% |
| Borussia Dortmund clean sheet | 29.6% |
FC Bayern München
FC Köln
3.7–0.7
xG
81%
Over 2.5
Elversberg
SC Freiburg
1.5–1.7
xG
62%
Over 2.5
FC Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
1.3–2.0
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Paderborn
2.6–0.9
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Eintracht Frankfurt
TSG Hoffenheim
2.0–1.6
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Schalke 04
VfB Stuttgart
1.3–1.8
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679070 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Borussia Dortmund are favourites. They win 54.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.5% for the draw and 22.7% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Including the draw, Borussia Dortmund avoid defeat 77.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.3% of simulations. Borussia Mönchengladbach keep a clean sheet 13.8% of the time and Borussia Dortmund 29.6%.
The simulations average 3.24 goals: 1.23 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 2.01 for Borussia Dortmund. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.6% and over 3.5 goals 40.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.