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Ligue 1 · 100,000 simulations

Troyes vs Le Havre prediction

We simulated Troyes vs Le Havre 100,000 times. Troyes won 46,498 of them (46.5%), the draw came up 25.7% of the time and Le Havre won 27.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12%, while the likeliest Troyes win is 2-1 (9.2%). Both teams score in 58.4% of simulations.

Troyes badge
Troyes Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas
Friday 20 November
Le Havre badge
Le Havre Away
46.5% 46,498 wins
25.7% Draw
27.8% 27,786 wins
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.25
Likeliest score
1-1 12% Top Troyes win: 2-1 9.2%
Both score
58.4%
Over 2.5
55.9%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas, Troyes

Troyes vs Le Havre in numbers 100,000 simulations · Ligue 1 · Friday 20 November, 19:45

Troyes vs Le Havre simulation probabilities
Troyes win46.5%
Draw25.7%
Le Havre win27.8%
Most likely score1-1 (12%)
Expected goals1.68 – 1.25
Both teams to score58.4%
Over 1.5 goals79.6%
Over 2.5 goals55.9%
Over 3.5 goals33.8%
Troyes score first59.1%
Le Havre score first34.3%
Troyes clean sheet29%
Le Havre clean sheet19.1%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420660770
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Troyes vs Le Havre prediction FAQs

Who will win Troyes vs Le Havre?

Troyes are favourites. They win 46.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.7% for the draw and 27.8% for Le Havre. Including the draw, Troyes avoid defeat 72.2% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Troyes vs Le Havre?

1-1, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.2%) and 1-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Troyes win is 2-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Troyes vs Le Havre?

Both teams score in 58.4% of simulations. Troyes keep a clean sheet 29% of the time and Le Havre 19.1%.

How many goals will there be in Troyes vs Le Havre?

The simulations average 2.93 goals: 1.68 for Troyes and 1.25 for Le Havre. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.9% and over 3.5 goals 33.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.