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  1. Simulations
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Monaco vs Auxerre
Ligue 1 · 100,000 simulations

Monaco vs Auxerre prediction

We simulated Monaco vs Auxerre 100,000 times. Monaco won 68,951 of them (69%), the draw came up 18% of the time and Auxerre won 13.1%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.1%), and both teams score in 55.4% of simulations.

Monaco badge
Monaco Stade Louis II.
Saturday 21 November
Auxerre badge
Auxerre Away
69% 68,951 wins
18% Draw
13.1% 13,080 wins
Expected goals
2.40 – 0.95
Likeliest score
2-0 10.1%
Both score
55.4%
Over 2.5
64.6%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Stade Louis II., Monaco

Monaco vs Auxerre in numbers 100,000 simulations · Ligue 1 · Saturday 21 November, 19:45

Monaco vs Auxerre simulation probabilities
Monaco win69%
Draw18%
Auxerre win13.1%
Most likely score2-0 (10.1%)
Expected goals2.40 – 0.95
Both teams to score55.4%
Over 1.5 goals84.5%
Over 2.5 goals64.6%
Over 3.5 goals42.9%
Monaco score first71.1%
Auxerre score first25%
Monaco clean sheet39.1%
Auxerre clean sheet9.5%

More Ligue 1 simulations

Troyes Le Havre 1.7–1.3 xG 56% Over 2.5 Nice Paris Saint Germain 1.1–2.4 xG 67% Over 2.5 Strasbourg Brest 1.6–1.4 xG 57% Over 2.5 Lens Toulouse 1.8–1.3 xG 60% Over 2.5 LOSC Lille Olympique Lyonnais 1.4–1.0 xG 44% Over 2.5 Paris Angers SCO 2.3–0.8 xG 60% Over 2.5 Lorient Rennes 1.5–1.4 xG 55% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420660785
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Monaco vs Auxerre prediction FAQs

Who will win Monaco vs Auxerre?

Monaco are favourites. They win 69% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18% for the draw and 13.1% for Auxerre. Including the draw, Monaco avoid defeat 86.9% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Monaco vs Auxerre?

2-0, which came up in 10.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.4%) and 1-0 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Monaco vs Auxerre?

Both teams score in 55.4% of simulations. Monaco keep a clean sheet 39.1% of the time and Auxerre 9.5%.

How many goals will there be in Monaco vs Auxerre?

The simulations average 3.35 goals: 2.40 for Monaco and 0.95 for Auxerre. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.6% and over 3.5 goals 42.9%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.