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  1. Simulations
  2. UEFA Nations League
  3. Greece vs Serbia
UEFA Nations League · 100,000 simulations

Greece vs Serbia prediction

We simulated Greece vs Serbia 100,000 times. Greece won 64,883 of them (64.9%), the draw came up 21.5% of the time and Serbia won 13.6%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11.3%), and both teams score in 51% of simulations.

Greece badge
Greece Dimotiko Stadio Neapolis Volou
Monday 16 November
Serbia badge
Serbia Away
64.9% 64,883 wins
21.5% Draw
13.6% 13,579 wins
Expected goals
2.11 – 0.86
Likeliest score
2-0 11.3%
Both score
51%
Over 2.5
56.6%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Dimotiko Stadio Neapolis Volou, Volos

Greece vs Serbia in numbers 100,000 simulations · UEFA Nations League · Monday 16 November, 19:45

Greece vs Serbia simulation probabilities
Greece win64.9%
Draw21.5%
Serbia win13.6%
Most likely score2-0 (11.3%)
Expected goals2.11 – 0.86
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals56.6%
Over 3.5 goals34.5%
Greece score first63.5%
Serbia score first30.2%
Greece clean sheet42.7%
Serbia clean sheet12.7%

More UEFA Nations League simulations

Serbia Germany 0.8–2.7 xG 67% Over 2.5 Netherlands Greece 2.1–1.1 xG 61% Over 2.5 Slovenia Switzerland 0.7–1.5 xG 36% Over 2.5 Scotland North Macedonia 2.5–0.5 xG 58% Over 2.5 Bulgaria Iceland 0.9–1.6 xG 47% Over 2.5 Luxembourg Estonia 1.1–1.0 xG 36% Over 2.5 Slovakia Faroe Islands 2.0–0.6 xG 49% Over 2.5 Liechtenstein Azerbaijan 0.3–2.1 xG 41% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420725788
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Greece vs Serbia prediction FAQs

Who will win Greece vs Serbia?

Greece are favourites. They win 64.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.5% for the draw and 13.6% for Serbia. Including the draw, Greece avoid defeat 86.4% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Greece vs Serbia?

2-0, which came up in 11.3% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (10.2%) and 1-0 (10.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Greece vs Serbia?

Both teams score in 51% of simulations. Greece keep a clean sheet 42.7% of the time and Serbia 12.7%.

How many goals will there be in Greece vs Serbia?

The simulations average 2.97 goals: 2.11 for Greece and 0.86 for Serbia. Over 1.5 goals lands 80% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.6% and over 3.5 goals 34.5%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.