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  1. Simulations
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Lens vs Toulouse
Ligue 1 · 100,000 simulations

Lens vs Toulouse prediction

We simulated Lens vs Toulouse 100,000 times. Lens won 44,596 of them (44.6%), the draw came up 25.1% of the time and Toulouse won 30.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.4%, while the likeliest Lens win is 2-1 (9%). Both teams score in 61.6% of simulations.

Lens badge
Lens Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Saturday 21 November
Toulouse badge
Toulouse Away
44.6% 44,596 wins
25.1% Draw
30.3% 30,268 wins
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.38
Likeliest score
1-1 11.4% Top Lens win: 2-1 9%
Both score
61.6%
Over 2.5
59.5%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens

Lens vs Toulouse in numbers 100,000 simulations · Ligue 1 · Saturday 21 November, 19:45

Lens vs Toulouse simulation probabilities
Lens win44.6%
Draw25.1%
Toulouse win30.3%
Most likely score1-1 (11.4%)
Expected goals1.72 – 1.38
Both teams to score61.6%
Over 1.5 goals81.9%
Over 2.5 goals59.5%
Over 3.5 goals37.4%
Lens score first55.8%
Toulouse score first38.7%
Lens clean sheet25.6%
Toulouse clean sheet18.4%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420660791
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Lens vs Toulouse prediction FAQs

Who will win Lens vs Toulouse?

Lens are favourites. They win 44.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.1% for the draw and 30.3% for Toulouse. Including the draw, Lens avoid defeat 69.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Lens vs Toulouse?

1-1, which came up in 11.4% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Lens win is 2-1 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Lens vs Toulouse?

Both teams score in 61.6% of simulations. Lens keep a clean sheet 25.6% of the time and Toulouse 18.4%.

How many goals will there be in Lens vs Toulouse?

The simulations average 3.10 goals: 1.72 for Lens and 1.38 for Toulouse. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.5% and over 3.5 goals 37.4%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.