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Lens vs Toulouse

Lens host Toulouse in the France Ligue 1 on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 19:45. Our model makes Lens favourites at 42%, with a 24% chance of a draw. In their last 9 meetings, Lens won 7, Toulouse won 1 and 1 was drawn.

France Ligue 1 Save
Lens
19:45
21 Nov
Toulouse
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens

Lens vs Toulouse preview

Lens have scored 2.00 goals a game and conceded 1.40 across their last 5 home games in the Ligue 1 this season, while Toulouse have scored 1.80 and conceded 1.60 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 4 of Lens' last 5 home games and 3 of Toulouse's last 5 away games. Over 9.5 corners has landed in none of Toulouse's last 5 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 4 of Lens' last 5 home games and 4 of Toulouse's last 5 away games. Lens' last 5 home games have averaged 9.4 corners and Toulouse's last 5 away games 7.0. Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 08:49 UK.

  • Goals scored Lens: 2.00 Toulouse: 1.80
  • Goals conceded Lens: 1.40 Toulouse: 1.60
  • Both teams scored Lens: 4 of 580% Toulouse: 3 of 560%
  • Over 2.5 goals Lens: 4 of 580% Toulouse: 4 of 580%
  • Match corners Lens: 9.40 Toulouse: 7.00
  • Match cards Lens: 3.60 Toulouse: 3.20

Lens' last 5 home games and Toulouse's last 5 away games in the Ligue 1 this season.

Win probabilities

42%Lens 24%Draw 34%Toulouse

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Lens vs Toulouse: questions and answers

When is Lens vs Toulouse?

Lens vs Toulouse kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in the Ligue 1, at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens.

Who is the favourite in Lens vs Toulouse?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Lens a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Toulouse 34%.

How many goals do Lens and Toulouse games have?

Lens have scored 2.00 goals a game and conceded 1.40 across their last 5 home games in the Ligue 1 this season, while Toulouse have scored 1.80 and conceded 1.60 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 4 of Lens' last 5 home games and 3 of Toulouse's last 5 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 4 of Lens' last 5 home games and 4 of Toulouse's last 5 away games.

Where are Lens and Toulouse in the Ligue 1 table?

Lens are 11th with 13 points from 10 games. Toulouse are 12th with 13 points from 10 games.

Lens vs Toulouse stats

Lens3W 0D 2L · 5 home games
Toulouse1W 3D 1L · 5 away games
Lens vs Toulouse general stats: Lens' last 5 home games and Toulouse's last 5 away games in the Ligue 1 this season
LensStatToulouse
Match outcomes
3 of 560% Win 1 of 520%
0 of 50% Draw 3 of 560%
2 of 540% Loss 1 of 520%
9 Points 6
1.80 Points per game 1.20
3 Goal difference 1
Expected goals
1.66 xG per game 1.40
1.40 xGA per game 1.49
1.69 xG performance 2.02
Possession & attacks
51% Possession 51%
47.80 Dangerous attacks 41.00
37.00 Dangerous attacks against 41.40
Shots
13.20 Shots for 10.80
10.20 Shots against 15.40
6.20 On target for 4.40
3.60 On target against 3.60
15% Shot conversion 17%
47% On-target accuracy 41%
Tackles & fouls
16.40 Tackles 16.20
12.80 Fouls committed 13.20
13.80 Fouls won 15.00
1.00 Offsides 1.80

Lens' last 5 home games and Toulouse's last 5 away games in the Ligue 1 this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 08:49 UK.

Lens vs Toulouse lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Lens vs Toulouse players

Player rankings

  1. 1 Lens Odsonne Édouard 1.61
  2. 2 Toulouse Jacen Russell-Rowe 1.53
  3. 3 Toulouse Julián Vignolo 1.51
  4. 4 Toulouse Casper Tengstedt 1.40
  5. 5 Toulouse Santiago Hidalgo 1.39

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
Florian Thauvin in 10 games 5goals
Casper Tengstedt in 8 games 5goals
Top creator
Florian Thauvin in 10 games 8assists
Cristian Cásseres Jr. in 10 games 6assists

Players in form

  1. Cristian Cásseres Jr. Defensive midfielder · Toulouse 7.61 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    6
    • Key passes2.57 per 90 Top 4%
    • Final third12.36 per 90 Top 4%
    • Duel %62% per 90 Top 4%
  2. Florian Thauvin Attacking midfielder · Lens 7.53 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    5
    Assists
    8
    • Assists0.64 per 90 Top 1%
    • Key passes3.56 per 90 Top 2%
    • Big chances0.77 per 90 Top 3%
  3. Maik Nawrocki Centre-back · Lens 7.15 Form rating
    Apps
    2
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Interceptions2.45 per 90 Top 4%
    • xG0.14 per 90 Top 5%
    • Pass %91% per 90 Top 19%
  4. Thomas Jørgensen Winger · Toulouse 7.05 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    1
    • Final third5.39 per 90 Top 5%
    • Dribble %58% per 90 Top 7%
    • Recoveries5.11 per 90 Top 9%
  5. Aron Dønnum Wing-back · Toulouse 7.01 Form rating
    Apps
    4
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    1
    • Key passes2.21 per 90 Top 7%
    • Final third6.83 per 90 Top 8%
    • Recoveries5.43 per 90 Top 10%
  6. Florian Sotoca Attacking midfielder · Lens 6.98 Form rating
    Apps
    7
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    1
    • Big chances0.82 per 90 Top 5%
  7. Casper Tengstedt Striker · Toulouse 6.98 Form rating
    Apps
    8
    Goals
    5
    Assists
    1
    • xG0.74 per 90 Top 6%
    • On target1.40 per 90 Top 27%
    • xG/shot0.18 per 90 Top 29%
  8. Ismaëlo Ganiou Centre-back · Lens 6.96 Form rating
    Apps
    5
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • Recoveries5.35 per 90 Top 5%
    • Tackles2.20 per 90 Top 13%
    • xG0.09 per 90 Top 15%
  9. Mark McKenzie Centre-back · Toulouse 6.95 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • Passes66.21 per 90 Top 17%
    • Pass %91% per 90 Top 23%
  10. Thorgan Hazard Striker · Lens 6.94 Form rating
    Apps
    8
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    1
    • Big chances0.38 per 90 Top 14%
    • Key passes1.49 per 90 Top 17%
    • Recoveries2.87 per 90 Top 23%
  11. Abdallah Sima Striker · Lens 6.91 Form rating
    Apps
    5
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    1
    • Recoveries3.41 per 90 Top 8%
    • Fouls won2.00 per 90 Top 11%
    • Assists0.18 per 90 Top 30%
  12. Niklas Schmidt Central midfielder · Toulouse 6.84 Form rating
    Apps
    6
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Final third11.29 per 90 Top 4%
    • Passes70.70 per 90 Top 5%
    • Recoveries6.29 per 90 Top 11%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Lens vs Toulouse form

Lens All venues
1 W · 0 D · 4 L
Points per game
0.60
Scored per game
0.8
Conceded per game
3.2
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
  1. Ligue 1 H Olympique Marseille 1–2 defeat xG 1.1–2.1
  2. Champions League H Como 1–9 defeat xG 0.9–2.9
  3. Ligue 1 A LOSC Lille 0–1 defeat xG 0.3–1.5
  4. Ligue 1 H Paris 2–1 win xG 0.8–0.5
  5. Champions League A Club Brugge 0–3 defeat xG 1.9–2.6
Toulouse All venues
2 W · 2 D · 1 L
Points per game
1.60
Scored per game
1.6
Conceded per game
1.0
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
  1. Ligue 1 H Strasbourg 3–1 win xG 1.2–0.6
  2. Ligue 1 A Olympique Marseille 0–2 defeat xG 1.7–1.1
  3. Ligue 1 H Troyes 0–0 draw xG 0.6–0.5
  4. Ligue 1 A Le Mans 3–0 win xG 1.6–1.2
  5. Ligue 1 A Monaco 2–2 draw xG 1.5–1.3

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Lens vs Toulouse head to head

7 Lens wins 1 draws 1 Toulouse wins
2.8 goals per game 44% both teams scored 56% over 2.5 goals
  1. 30 Jan 2027Ligue 1 Toulouse 19:45 Lens
  2. 21 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Lens 19:45 Toulouse
  3. 21 Apr 2026Coupe de France Lens 4–1 Toulouse
  4. 17 Apr 2026Ligue 1 Lens 3–2 Toulouse
  5. 2 Jan 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 0–3 Lens
  6. 10 May 2025Ligue 1 Toulouse 1–1 Lens
  7. 5 Jan 2025Ligue 1 Lens 0–1 Toulouse
  8. 28 Jan 2024Ligue 1 Toulouse 0–2 Lens
  9. 24 Sep 2023Ligue 1 Lens 2–1 Toulouse
  10. 2 May 2023Ligue 1 Toulouse 0–1 Lens
  11. 28 Oct 2022Ligue 1 Lens 3–0 Toulouse

Lens vs Toulouse standings

Ligue 1 table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Paris Saint Germain 107212210 +12 23
2 LOSC Lille 10631147 +7 21
3 Paris 106221710 +7 20
4 Olympique Marseille 106042214 +8 18
5 Olympique Lyonnais 10523159 +6 17
6 Nice 105231512 +3 17
7 Monaco 104421311 +2 16
8 Rennes 105142121 0 16
9 Brest 104331812 +6 15
10 Lorient 1043398 +1 15
11 Lens 104151715 +2 13
12 Toulouse 103431514 +1 13
13 Strasbourg 103161822 -4 10
14 Auxerre 103161324 -11 10
15 Le Mans 101541219 -7 8
16 Angers SCO 10226919 -10 8
17 Troyes 10226717 -10 8
18 Le Havre 10028922 -13 2
  • Lens
  • Toulouse
  • Relegation
Full Ligue 1 table

Ligue 1 2026/2027 standings as of 14 Nov 2026, 08:49 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Lens vs Toulouse odds

Best price across 7 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Lens 1.891xBet Shortened 6%from 2.00 42%
Draw 4.15Pinnacle Shortened 2%from 4.24 24%
Toulouse 4.111xBet Drifted 8%from 3.80 34%
Double Chance
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Lens or Draw 1.25Bet365 Drifted 4%from 1.20 66%
Draw or Toulouse 1.90Bet365 Shortened 7%from 2.05 58%
Lens or Toulouse 1.28Bet365 Drifted 2%from 1.25 76%
Draw No Bet
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Lens 1.40Bet365 Drifted 5%from 1.33 56%
Toulouse 2.75Bet365 Shortened 15%from 3.25 45%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 1.65Betfair Exchange Drifted 2%from 1.62 63%
BTTS No 2.45Kambi Group No changefrom 2.45 37%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.21Betano Drifted 3%from 1.18 82%
Under 1.5 4.70FanDuel No changefrom 4.70 19%
Over 2.5 1.68Betfair Exchange Drifted 1%from 1.66 61%
Under 2.5 2.40Kambi Group No changefrom 2.40 39%
Over 3.5 2.62Bet365 Drifted 10%from 2.38 38%
Under 3.5 1.57Kambi Group No changefrom 1.57 62%
Half-Time Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Lens 2.40Bet365 Drifted 7%from 2.25 –
Draw 2.37Bet365 Shortened 1%from 2.40 –
Toulouse 4.00Bet365 Shortened 11%from 4.50 –

Prices are decimal. Updated 14 Nov, 08:08. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

42%Lens 24%Draw 34%Toulouse
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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.