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  1. Simulations
  2. UEFA Nations League
  3. Switzerland vs Scotland
UEFA Nations League · 100,000 simulations

Switzerland vs Scotland prediction

We simulated Switzerland vs Scotland 100,000 times. Switzerland won 60,655 of them (60.7%), the draw came up 24.1% of the time and Scotland won 15.3%. The most likely score is 1-0 (12.4%), and both teams score in 46.7% of simulations.

Switzerland badge
Switzerland Kybunpark
Monday 16 November
Scotland badge
Scotland Away
60.7% 60,655 wins
24.1% Draw
15.3% 15,299 wins
Expected goals
1.83 – 0.80
Likeliest score
1-0 12.4%
Both score
46.7%
Over 2.5
48.8%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Kybunpark, St. Gallen

Switzerland vs Scotland in numbers 100,000 simulations · UEFA Nations League · Monday 16 November, 19:45

Switzerland vs Scotland simulation probabilities
Switzerland win60.7%
Draw24.1%
Scotland win15.3%
Most likely score1-0 (12.4%)
Expected goals1.83 – 0.80
Both teams to score46.7%
Over 1.5 goals74.3%
Over 2.5 goals48.8%
Over 3.5 goals27.2%
Switzerland score first62.5%
Scotland score first29.2%
Switzerland clean sheet45.1%
Scotland clean sheet16.5%

More UEFA Nations League simulations

Serbia Germany 0.8–2.7 xG 67% Over 2.5 Netherlands Greece 2.1–1.1 xG 61% Over 2.5 Slovenia Switzerland 0.7–1.5 xG 37% Over 2.5 Scotland North Macedonia 2.6–0.5 xG 59% Over 2.5 Bulgaria Iceland 1.0–1.6 xG 47% Over 2.5 Luxembourg Estonia 1.1–1.0 xG 36% Over 2.5 Slovakia Faroe Islands 2.1–0.7 xG 51% Over 2.5 Liechtenstein Azerbaijan 0.3–2.1 xG 41% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420725804
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Switzerland vs Scotland prediction FAQs

Who will win Switzerland vs Scotland?

Switzerland are favourites. They win 60.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.1% for the draw and 15.3% for Scotland. Including the draw, Switzerland avoid defeat 84.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Switzerland vs Scotland?

1-0, which came up in 12.4% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (11.9%) and 1-1 (11.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Switzerland vs Scotland?

Both teams score in 46.7% of simulations. Switzerland keep a clean sheet 45.1% of the time and Scotland 16.5%.

How many goals will there be in Switzerland vs Scotland?

The simulations average 2.63 goals: 1.83 for Switzerland and 0.80 for Scotland. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.8% and over 3.5 goals 27.2%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.