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  1. Simulations
  2. UEFA Nations League
  3. Gibraltar vs Malta
UEFA Nations League · 100,000 simulations

Gibraltar vs Malta prediction

We simulated Gibraltar vs Malta 100,000 times. Malta won 61,781 of them (61.8%), the draw came up 24.5% of the time and Gibraltar won 13.7%. The most likely score is 0-1 (17.3%), and both teams score in 36.4% of simulations.

Gibraltar badge
Gibraltar Europa Point Stadium
Tomorrow
Malta badge
Malta Away
13.7% 13,724 wins
24.5% Draw
61.8% 61,781 wins
Expected goals
0.61 – 1.63
Likeliest score
0-1 17.3%
Both score
36.4%
Over 2.5
38.6%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Europa Point Stadium, Freiburg

Gibraltar vs Malta in numbers 100,000 simulations · UEFA Nations League · Tomorrow, 19:45

Gibraltar vs Malta simulation probabilities
Gibraltar win13.7%
Draw24.5%
Malta win61.8%
Most likely score0-1 (17.3%)
Expected goals0.61 – 1.63
Both teams to score36.4%
Over 1.5 goals65.1%
Over 2.5 goals38.6%
Over 3.5 goals18.9%
Gibraltar score first24.9%
Malta score first63.9%
Gibraltar clean sheet20.1%
Malta clean sheet54.6%

More UEFA Nations League simulations

Spain England 1.8–1.4 xG 61% Over 2.5 Belgium Italy 1.6–1.4 xG 59% Over 2.5 Croatia Czech Republic 2.1–0.9 xG 57% Over 2.5 France Türkiye 2.9–0.9 xG 72% Over 2.5 Faroe Islands Moldova 1.5–0.9 xG 43% Over 2.5 Kazakhstan Slovakia 1.0–1.6 xG 50% Over 2.5 Iceland Luxembourg 2.2–0.6 xG 53% Over 2.5 Estonia Bulgaria 1.3–0.9 xG 37% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725826
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Gibraltar vs Malta prediction FAQs

Who will win Gibraltar vs Malta?

Malta are favourites. They win 61.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.5% for the draw and 13.7% for Gibraltar. Including the draw, Malta avoid defeat 86.3% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Gibraltar vs Malta?

0-1, which came up in 17.3% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (14%) and 0-0 (11%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Gibraltar vs Malta?

Both teams score in 36.4% of simulations. Gibraltar keep a clean sheet 20.1% of the time and Malta 54.6%.

How many goals will there be in Gibraltar vs Malta?

The simulations average 2.23 goals: 0.61 for Gibraltar and 1.63 for Malta. Over 1.5 goals lands 65.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 38.6% and over 3.5 goals 18.9%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.