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  1. Simulations
  2. UEFA Nations League
  3. North Macedonia vs Slovenia
UEFA Nations League · 100,000 simulations

North Macedonia vs Slovenia prediction

We simulated North Macedonia vs Slovenia 100,000 times. Slovenia won 61,745 of them (61.7%), the draw came up 24% of the time and North Macedonia won 14.2%. The most likely score is 0-1 (15.6%), and both teams score in 39.7% of simulations.

North Macedonia badge
North Macedonia Toše Proeski Arena
Monday 16 November
Slovenia badge
Slovenia Away
14.2% 14,238 wins
24% Draw
61.7% 61,745 wins
Expected goals
0.67 – 1.70
Likeliest score
0-1 15.6%
Both score
39.7%
Over 2.5
42.2%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Toše Proeski Arena, Skopje

North Macedonia vs Slovenia in numbers 100,000 simulations · UEFA Nations League · Monday 16 November, 19:45

North Macedonia vs Slovenia simulation probabilities
North Macedonia win14.2%
Draw24%
Slovenia win61.7%
Most likely score0-1 (15.6%)
Expected goals0.67 – 1.70
Both teams to score39.7%
Over 1.5 goals68.4%
Over 2.5 goals42.2%
Over 3.5 goals21.8%
North Macedonia score first27.6%
Slovenia score first62.7%
North Macedonia clean sheet18.7%
Slovenia clean sheet51.4%

More UEFA Nations League simulations

Moldova Kazakhstan 1.2–1.1 xG 41% Over 2.5 Serbia Germany 0.8–2.7 xG 68% Over 2.5 Netherlands Greece 2.0–1.1 xG 60% Over 2.5 Slovenia Switzerland 0.7–1.5 xG 38% Over 2.5 Scotland North Macedonia 2.5–0.5 xG 59% Over 2.5 Bulgaria Iceland 1.0–1.6 xG 47% Over 2.5 Luxembourg Estonia 1.1–1.0 xG 35% Over 2.5 Slovakia Faroe Islands 2.0–0.6 xG 49% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420725796
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

North Macedonia vs Slovenia prediction FAQs

Who will win North Macedonia vs Slovenia?

Slovenia are favourites. They win 61.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24% for the draw and 14.2% for North Macedonia. Including the draw, Slovenia avoid defeat 85.8% of the time.

What is the most likely score in North Macedonia vs Slovenia?

0-1, which came up in 15.6% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (13.3%) and 1-1 (10.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in North Macedonia vs Slovenia?

Both teams score in 39.7% of simulations. North Macedonia keep a clean sheet 18.7% of the time and Slovenia 51.4%.

How many goals will there be in North Macedonia vs Slovenia?

The simulations average 2.37 goals: 0.67 for North Macedonia and 1.70 for Slovenia. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 42.2% and over 3.5 goals 21.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.