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  1. Simulations
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Nice vs Paris Saint Germain
Ligue 1 · 100,000 simulations

Nice vs Paris Saint Germain prediction

We simulated Nice vs Paris Saint Germain 100,000 times. Paris Saint Germain won 63,692 of them (63.7%), the draw came up 19% of the time and Nice won 17.3%. The most likely score is 1-2 (9.4%), and both teams score in 61.2% of simulations.

Nice badge
Nice Allianz Riviera
Saturday 21 November
Paris Saint Germain badge
Paris Saint Germain Away
17.3% 17,334 wins
19% Draw
63.7% 63,692 wins
Expected goals
1.14 – 2.35
Likeliest score
1-2 9.4%
Both score
61.2%
Over 2.5
67.3%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Allianz Riviera, Nice

Nice vs Paris Saint Germain in numbers 100,000 simulations · Ligue 1 · Saturday 21 November, 16:15

Nice vs Paris Saint Germain simulation probabilities
Nice win17.3%
Draw19%
Paris Saint Germain win63.7%
Most likely score1-2 (9.4%)
Expected goals1.14 – 2.35
Both teams to score61.2%
Over 1.5 goals86.1%
Over 2.5 goals67.3%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Nice score first34.6%
Paris Saint Germain score first62.1%
Nice clean sheet10%
Paris Saint Germain clean sheet32.2%

More Ligue 1 simulations

Troyes Le Havre 1.7–1.3 xG 56% Over 2.5 Strasbourg Brest 1.6–1.4 xG 57% Over 2.5 Monaco Auxerre 2.4–1.0 xG 65% Over 2.5 Lens Toulouse 1.8–1.3 xG 60% Over 2.5 LOSC Lille Olympique Lyonnais 1.4–1.0 xG 44% Over 2.5 Paris Angers SCO 2.3–0.8 xG 60% Over 2.5 Lorient Rennes 1.5–1.4 xG 55% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Nice vs Paris Saint Germain prediction FAQs

Who will win Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?

Paris Saint Germain are favourites. They win 63.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19% for the draw and 17.3% for Nice. Including the draw, Paris Saint Germain avoid defeat 82.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?

1-2, which came up in 9.4% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-1 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?

Both teams score in 61.2% of simulations. Nice keep a clean sheet 10% of the time and Paris Saint Germain 32.2%.

How many goals will there be in Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?

The simulations average 3.49 goals: 1.14 for Nice and 2.35 for Paris Saint Germain. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 67.3% and over 3.5 goals 46%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.