We simulated Tigre vs Banfield 100,000 times. Tigre won 58,202 of them (58.2%), the draw came up 25.2% of the time and Banfield won 16.6%. The most likely score is 1-0 (14.4%), and both teams score in 43.1% of simulations.
| Tigre win | 58.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.2% |
| Banfield win | 16.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (14.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.66 – 0.76 |
| Both teams to score | 43.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.5% |
| Tigre score first | 63% |
| Banfield score first | 27% |
| Tigre clean sheet | 47.1% |
| Banfield clean sheet | 19.5% |
Aldosivi
Sarmiento
1.3–1.0
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Gimnasia La Plata
Atlético Tucumán
1.6–0.9
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Instituto
Boca Juniors
1.2–1.1
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Unión Santa Fe
Defensa y Justicia
1.5–1.1
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Barracas Central
Huracán
1.0–0.9
xG
29%
Over 2.5
Central Cordoba SdE
Estudiantes
1.0–1.2
xG
37%
Over 2.5
River Plate
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
2.4–0.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
1.1–0.9
xG
30%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420490498 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Tigre are favourites. They win 58.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.2% for the draw and 16.6% for Banfield. Including the draw, Tigre avoid defeat 83.4% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 14.4% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (12.2%) and 1-1 (11.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 43.1% of simulations. Tigre keep a clean sheet 47.1% of the time and Banfield 19.5%.
The simulations average 2.41 goals: 1.66 for Tigre and 0.76 for Banfield. Over 1.5 goals lands 69.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 43.3% and over 3.5 goals 22.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
