We simulated Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire 100,000 times. Atlanta United won 39,049 of them (39.1%), the draw came up 24.6% of the time and Chicago Fire won 36.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.7%, while the likeliest Atlanta United win is 2-1 (8.2%). Both teams score in 66.6% of simulations.
| Atlanta United win | 39.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.6% |
| Chicago Fire win | 36.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.72 – 1.65 |
| Both teams to score | 66.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.4% |
| Atlanta United score first | 46.9% |
| Chicago Fire score first | 48.4% |
| Atlanta United clean sheet | 19.6% |
| Chicago Fire clean sheet | 18.4% |
Cincinnati
DC United
2.5–1.4
xG
74%
Over 2.5
CF Montréal
Nashville SC
1.1–1.8
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Columbus Crew
Toronto
2.1–1.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
New York RB
Inter Miami
1.7–2.0
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Orlando City
New York City
1.8–1.4
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
New England
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Dallas
SJ Earthquakes
1.9–1.2
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Houston Dynamo
Minnesota United
1.8–1.4
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510237 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Atlanta United are favourites. They win 39.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.6% for the draw and 36.3% for Chicago Fire. Including the draw, Atlanta United avoid defeat 63.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.2%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Atlanta United win is 2-1 (8.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 66.6% of simulations. Atlanta United keep a clean sheet 19.6% of the time and Chicago Fire 18.4%.
The simulations average 3.37 goals: 1.72 for Atlanta United and 1.65 for Chicago Fire. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.1% and over 3.5 goals 43.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
