We simulated New York RB vs Inter Miami 100,000 times. Inter Miami won 45,268 of them (45.3%), the draw came up 23.4% of the time and New York RB won 31.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.5%, while the likeliest Inter Miami win is 1-2 (8.4%). Both teams score in 70.7% of simulations.
| New York RB win | 31.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.4% |
| Inter Miami win | 45.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.67 – 2.02 |
| Both teams to score | 70.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 50% |
| New York RB score first | 46.2% |
| Inter Miami score first | 50.1% |
| New York RB clean sheet | 13.7% |
| Inter Miami clean sheet | 19.4% |
Cincinnati
DC United
2.5–1.4
xG
74%
Over 2.5
CF Montréal
Nashville SC
1.1–1.8
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Columbus Crew
Toronto
2.1–1.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Orlando City
New York City
1.8–1.4
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Atlanta United
Chicago Fire
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
New England
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Dallas
SJ Earthquakes
1.9–1.2
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Houston Dynamo
Minnesota United
1.8–1.4
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420509947 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Inter Miami are favourites. They win 45.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.4% for the draw and 31.4% for New York RB. Including the draw, Inter Miami avoid defeat 68.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.5% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.4%) and 2-1 (6.9%). The likeliest Inter Miami win is 1-2 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 70.7% of simulations. New York RB keep a clean sheet 13.7% of the time and Inter Miami 19.4%.
The simulations average 3.68 goals: 1.67 for New York RB and 2.02 for Inter Miami. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 70.8% and over 3.5 goals 50%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
