We simulated Orlando City vs New York City 100,000 times. Orlando City won 46,633 of them (46.6%), the draw came up 25.3% of the time and New York City won 28.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.3%, while the likeliest Orlando City win is 2-1 (9.1%). Both teams score in 64.1% of simulations.
| Orlando City win | 46.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.3% |
| New York City win | 28.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.84 – 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | 64.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.6% |
| Orlando City score first | 50.8% |
| New York City score first | 44% |
| Orlando City clean sheet | 25.1% |
| New York City clean sheet | 16.3% |
Cincinnati
DC United
2.5–1.4
xG
74%
Over 2.5
CF Montréal
Nashville SC
1.1–1.8
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Columbus Crew
Toronto
2.1–1.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
New York RB
Inter Miami
1.7–2.0
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Atlanta United
Chicago Fire
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
New England
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Dallas
SJ Earthquakes
1.9–1.2
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Houston Dynamo
Minnesota United
1.8–1.4
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420509941 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Orlando City are favourites. They win 46.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.3% for the draw and 28.1% for New York City. Including the draw, Orlando City avoid defeat 71.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.3% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.1%) and 1-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Orlando City win is 2-1 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.1% of simulations. Orlando City keep a clean sheet 25.1% of the time and New York City 16.3%.
The simulations average 3.24 goals: 1.84 for Orlando City and 1.40 for New York City. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.6% and over 3.5 goals 40.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
