We simulated Columbus Crew vs Toronto 100,000 times. Columbus Crew won 59,620 of them (59.6%), the draw came up 21.3% of the time and Toronto won 19.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.8%, while the likeliest Columbus Crew win is 2-1 (9.7%). Both teams score in 57.7% of simulations.
| Columbus Crew win | 59.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.3% |
| Toronto win | 19.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.8%) |
| Expected goals | 2.08 – 1.09 |
| Both teams to score | 57.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.9% |
| Columbus Crew score first | 64.8% |
| Toronto score first | 30.6% |
| Columbus Crew clean sheet | 34.1% |
| Toronto clean sheet | 12.9% |
Cincinnati
DC United
2.5–1.4
xG
74%
Over 2.5
CF Montréal
Nashville SC
1.1–1.8
xG
55%
Over 2.5
New York RB
Inter Miami
1.7–2.0
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Orlando City
New York City
1.8–1.4
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Atlanta United
Chicago Fire
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
New England
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Dallas
SJ Earthquakes
1.9–1.2
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Houston Dynamo
Minnesota United
1.8–1.4
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420509980 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Columbus Crew are favourites. They win 59.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.3% for the draw and 19.1% for Toronto. Including the draw, Columbus Crew avoid defeat 80.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win is 2-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.7% of simulations. Columbus Crew keep a clean sheet 34.1% of the time and Toronto 12.9%.
The simulations average 3.16 goals: 2.08 for Columbus Crew and 1.09 for Toronto. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.9% and over 3.5 goals 38.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
