We simulated Dallas vs SJ Earthquakes 100,000 times. Dallas won 52,060 of them (52.1%), the draw came up 23.7% of the time and SJ Earthquakes won 24.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.8%, while the likeliest Dallas win is 2-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 60.8% of simulations.
| Dallas win | 52.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.7% |
| SJ Earthquakes win | 24.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.91 – 1.24 |
| Both teams to score | 60.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.7% |
| Dallas score first | 56.3% |
| SJ Earthquakes score first | 38.3% |
| Dallas clean sheet | 29.2% |
| SJ Earthquakes clean sheet | 15.2% |
Cincinnati
DC United
2.5–1.4
xG
74%
Over 2.5
CF Montréal
Nashville SC
1.1–1.8
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Columbus Crew
Toronto
2.1–1.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
New York RB
Inter Miami
1.7–2.0
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Orlando City
New York City
1.8–1.4
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Atlanta United
Chicago Fire
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
New England
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Houston Dynamo
Minnesota United
1.8–1.4
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510048 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Dallas are favourites. They win 52.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.7% for the draw and 24.2% for SJ Earthquakes. Including the draw, Dallas avoid defeat 75.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Dallas win is 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.8% of simulations. Dallas keep a clean sheet 29.2% of the time and SJ Earthquakes 15.2%.
The simulations average 3.16 goals: 1.91 for Dallas and 1.24 for SJ Earthquakes. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.8% and over 3.5 goals 38.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
