We simulated Cincinnati vs DC United 100,000 times. Cincinnati won 60,880 of them (60.9%), the draw came up 19% of the time and DC United won 20.1%. The most likely score is 2-1 (8.8%), and both teams score in 68.5% of simulations.
| Cincinnati win | 60.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19% |
| DC United win | 20.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (8.8%) |
| Expected goals | 2.48 – 1.39 |
| Both teams to score | 68.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 53.8% |
| Cincinnati score first | 60.7% |
| DC United score first | 37% |
| Cincinnati clean sheet | 25.4% |
| DC United clean sheet | 8.7% |
CF Montréal
Nashville SC
1.1–1.8
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Columbus Crew
Toronto
2.1–1.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
New York RB
Inter Miami
1.7–2.0
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Orlando City
New York City
1.8–1.4
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Atlanta United
Chicago Fire
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
New England
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Dallas
SJ Earthquakes
1.9–1.2
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Houston Dynamo
Minnesota United
1.8–1.4
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510272 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Cincinnati are favourites. They win 60.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19% for the draw and 20.1% for DC United. Including the draw, Cincinnati avoid defeat 79.9% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 8.8% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (7.5%) and 3-1 (7.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 68.5% of simulations. Cincinnati keep a clean sheet 25.4% of the time and DC United 8.7%.
The simulations average 3.87 goals: 2.48 for Cincinnati and 1.39 for DC United. Over 1.5 goals lands 89.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 73.8% and over 3.5 goals 53.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
