We simulated Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United 100,000 times. Houston Dynamo won 45,687 of them (45.7%), the draw came up 24.7% of the time and Minnesota United won 29.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.1%, while the likeliest Houston Dynamo win is 2-1 (9%). Both teams score in 62.7% of simulations.
| Houston Dynamo win | 45.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.7% |
| Minnesota United win | 29.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.77 – 1.39 |
| Both teams to score | 62.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% |
| Houston Dynamo score first | 57.3% |
| Minnesota United score first | 37.6% |
| Houston Dynamo clean sheet | 25.2% |
| Minnesota United clean sheet | 17.4% |
Cincinnati
DC United
2.5–1.4
xG
74%
Over 2.5
CF Montréal
Nashville SC
1.1–1.8
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Columbus Crew
Toronto
2.1–1.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
New York RB
Inter Miami
1.7–2.0
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Orlando City
New York City
1.8–1.4
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Atlanta United
Chicago Fire
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
New England
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Dallas
SJ Earthquakes
1.9–1.2
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510101 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Houston Dynamo are favourites. They win 45.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.7% for the draw and 29.6% for Minnesota United. Including the draw, Houston Dynamo avoid defeat 70.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win is 2-1 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.7% of simulations. Houston Dynamo keep a clean sheet 25.2% of the time and Minnesota United 17.4%.
The simulations average 3.17 goals: 1.77 for Houston Dynamo and 1.39 for Minnesota United. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61% and over 3.5 goals 39%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
