We simulated Bristol Rovers vs Barnet 100,000 times. Bristol Rovers won 45,279 of them (45.3%), the draw came up 27.9% of the time and Barnet won 26.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13%, while the likeliest Bristol Rovers win is 2-1 (9.2%). Both teams score in 60.5% of simulations.
| Bristol Rovers win | 45.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.9% |
| Barnet win | 26.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13%) |
| Expected goals | 1.71 – 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | 60.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% |
| Bristol Rovers score first | 51.9% |
| Barnet score first | 40.4% |
| Bristol Rovers clean sheet | 28.3% |
| Barnet clean sheet | 18.6% |
Swindon Town
Crewe Alexandra
1.4–1.3
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Oldham Athletic
Accrington Stanley
1.9–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Fleetwood Town
Walsall
1.5–1.2
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Cheltenham Town
Salford City
1.3–1.8
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Newport County
Colchester United
1.5–1.3
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Port Vale
Grimsby Town
1.4–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Crawley Town
Chesterfield
1.2–2.0
xG
61%
Over 2.5
York City
Northampton Town
2.0–0.8
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646854 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Bristol Rovers are favourites. They win 45.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.9% for the draw and 26.8% for Barnet. Including the draw, Bristol Rovers avoid defeat 73.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.2%) and 0-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win is 2-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.5% of simulations. Bristol Rovers keep a clean sheet 28.3% of the time and Barnet 18.6%.
The simulations average 2.99 goals: 1.71 for Bristol Rovers and 1.28 for Barnet. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.1% and over 3.5 goals 35%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
