We simulated York City vs Northampton Town 100,000 times. York City won 64,912 of them (64.9%), the draw came up 21.6% of the time and Northampton Town won 13.5%. The most likely score is 2-0 (12%), and both teams score in 47.9% of simulations.
| York City win | 64.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.6% |
| Northampton Town win | 13.5% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (12%) |
| Expected goals | 2.02 – 0.80 |
| Both teams to score | 47.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.3% |
| York City score first | 68.6% |
| Northampton Town score first | 24.8% |
| York City clean sheet | 45.2% |
| Northampton Town clean sheet | 13.7% |
Swindon Town
Crewe Alexandra
1.4–1.3
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Oldham Athletic
Accrington Stanley
1.9–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Fleetwood Town
Walsall
1.5–1.2
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Cheltenham Town
Salford City
1.3–1.8
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Newport County
Colchester United
1.5–1.3
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Port Vale
Grimsby Town
1.4–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Crawley Town
Chesterfield
1.2–2.0
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Tranmere Rovers
Rochdale
1.6–1.0
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646830 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
York City are favourites. They win 64.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.6% for the draw and 13.5% for Northampton Town. Including the draw, York City avoid defeat 86.5% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.5%) and 1-1 (10.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.9% of simulations. York City keep a clean sheet 45.2% of the time and Northampton Town 13.7%.
The simulations average 2.82 goals: 2.02 for York City and 0.80 for Northampton Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.3% and over 3.5 goals 31.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
