We simulated Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs Shandong Taishan 100,000 times. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won 39,532 of them (39.5%), the draw came up 25.7% of the time and Shandong Taishan won 34.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.9%, while the likeliest Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win is 2-1 (8.5%). Both teams score in 58.4% of simulations.
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win | 39.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.7% |
| Shandong Taishan win | 34.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.50 – 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | 58.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.1% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC score first | 48.1% |
| Shandong Taishan score first | 45.4% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC clean sheet | 25.2% |
| Shandong Taishan clean sheet | 22.7% |
Qingdao Hainiu
Beijing Guoan
1.1–2.2
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Shenzhen Peng City
Henan Songshan Longmen
1.5–1.5
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Zhejiang
Shanghai Port
1.9–1.8
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Chengdu Rongcheng
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1.9–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Shanghai Shenhua
Yunnan Yukun
2.8–1.6
xG
80%
Over 2.5
Qingdao West Coast
Dalian Yingbo
1.4–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Liaoning Tieren FC
Wuhan Three Towns
1.8–1.7
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420519170 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC are favourites. They win 39.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.7% for the draw and 34.8% for Shandong Taishan. Including the draw, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC avoid defeat 65.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win is 2-1 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.4% of simulations. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC keep a clean sheet 25.2% of the time and Shandong Taishan 22.7%.
The simulations average 2.90 goals: 1.50 for Chongqing Tonglianglong FC and 1.40 for Shandong Taishan. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.1% and over 3.5 goals 33.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
