We simulated Zhejiang vs Shanghai Port 100,000 times. Zhejiang won 41,671 of them (41.7%), the draw came up 22.6% of the time and Shanghai Port won 35.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.1%, while the likeliest Zhejiang win is 2-1 (8%). Both teams score in 70.3% of simulations.
| Zhejiang win | 41.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.6% |
| Shanghai Port win | 35.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.91 – 1.76 |
| Both teams to score | 70.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 49.7% |
| Zhejiang score first | 54.2% |
| Shanghai Port score first | 42.4% |
| Zhejiang clean sheet | 17.7% |
| Shanghai Port clean sheet | 15.3% |
Qingdao Hainiu
Beijing Guoan
1.1–2.2
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Shenzhen Peng City
Henan Songshan Longmen
1.5–1.5
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Chengdu Rongcheng
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1.9–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Shanghai Shenhua
Yunnan Yukun
2.8–1.6
xG
80%
Over 2.5
Qingdao West Coast
Dalian Yingbo
1.4–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Shandong Taishan
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Liaoning Tieren FC
Wuhan Three Towns
1.8–1.7
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420519288 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Zhejiang are favourites. They win 41.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.6% for the draw and 35.7% for Shanghai Port. Including the draw, Zhejiang avoid defeat 64.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8%) and 1-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Zhejiang win is 2-1 (8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 70.3% of simulations. Zhejiang keep a clean sheet 17.7% of the time and Shanghai Port 15.3%.
The simulations average 3.67 goals: 1.91 for Zhejiang and 1.76 for Shanghai Port. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 70.5% and over 3.5 goals 49.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
