We simulated Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun 100,000 times. Shanghai Shenhua won 61,512 of them (61.5%), the draw came up 18.5% of the time and Yunnan Yukun won 20%. The most likely score is 2-1 (7.7%), and both teams score in 74.2% of simulations.
| Shanghai Shenhua win | 61.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.5% |
| Yunnan Yukun win | 20% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (7.7%) |
| Expected goals | 2.76 – 1.58 |
| Both teams to score | 74.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 62.5% |
| Shanghai Shenhua score first | 61.8% |
| Yunnan Yukun score first | 36% |
| Shanghai Shenhua clean sheet | 21.2% |
| Yunnan Yukun clean sheet | 6.8% |
Qingdao Hainiu
Beijing Guoan
1.1–2.2
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Shenzhen Peng City
Henan Songshan Longmen
1.5–1.5
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Zhejiang
Shanghai Port
1.9–1.8
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Chengdu Rongcheng
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1.9–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Qingdao West Coast
Dalian Yingbo
1.4–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Shandong Taishan
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Liaoning Tieren FC
Wuhan Three Towns
1.8–1.7
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420519287 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Shanghai Shenhua are favourites. They win 61.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.5% for the draw and 20% for Yunnan Yukun. Including the draw, Shanghai Shenhua avoid defeat 80% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 7.7% of simulations. Next are 3-1 (7%) and 1-1 (6.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 74.2% of simulations. Shanghai Shenhua keep a clean sheet 21.2% of the time and Yunnan Yukun 6.8%.
The simulations average 4.34 goals: 2.76 for Shanghai Shenhua and 1.58 for Yunnan Yukun. Over 1.5 goals lands 93.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 80.1% and over 3.5 goals 62.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
