We simulated Shenzhen Peng City vs Henan Songshan Longmen 100,000 times. Henan Songshan Longmen won 38,178 of them (38.2%), the draw came up 26.2% of the time and Shenzhen Peng City won 35.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12%, while the likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win is 1-2 (8.4%). Both teams score in 60.7% of simulations.
| Shenzhen Peng City win | 35.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.2% |
| Henan Songshan Longmen win | 38.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12%) |
| Expected goals | 1.47 – 1.53 |
| Both teams to score | 60.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.4% |
| Shenzhen Peng City score first | 42.8% |
| Henan Songshan Longmen score first | 51.3% |
| Shenzhen Peng City clean sheet | 22.1% |
| Henan Songshan Longmen clean sheet | 23.4% |
Qingdao Hainiu
Beijing Guoan
1.1–2.2
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Zhejiang
Shanghai Port
1.9–1.8
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Chengdu Rongcheng
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1.9–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Shanghai Shenhua
Yunnan Yukun
2.8–1.6
xG
80%
Over 2.5
Qingdao West Coast
Dalian Yingbo
1.4–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Shandong Taishan
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Liaoning Tieren FC
Wuhan Three Towns
1.8–1.7
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420519173 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Henan Songshan Longmen are favourites. They win 38.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.2% for the draw and 35.6% for Shenzhen Peng City. Including the draw, Henan Songshan Longmen avoid defeat 64.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win is 1-2 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.7% of simulations. Shenzhen Peng City keep a clean sheet 22.1% of the time and Henan Songshan Longmen 23.4%.
The simulations average 3.01 goals: 1.47 for Shenzhen Peng City and 1.53 for Henan Songshan Longmen. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.5% and over 3.5 goals 35.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
