We simulated Qingdao Hainiu vs Beijing Guoan 100,000 times. Beijing Guoan won 61,486 of them (61.5%), the draw came up 22% of the time and Qingdao Hainiu won 16.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.1%, while the likeliest Beijing Guoan win is 1-2 (9.6%). Both teams score in 58.5% of simulations.
| Qingdao Hainiu win | 16.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22% |
| Beijing Guoan win | 61.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.06 – 2.19 |
| Both teams to score | 58.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.7% |
| Qingdao Hainiu score first | 29.2% |
| Beijing Guoan score first | 65.5% |
| Qingdao Hainiu clean sheet | 11.8% |
| Beijing Guoan clean sheet | 35.1% |
Shenzhen Peng City
Henan Songshan Longmen
1.5–1.5
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Zhejiang
Shanghai Port
1.9–1.8
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Chengdu Rongcheng
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1.9–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Shanghai Shenhua
Yunnan Yukun
2.8–1.6
xG
80%
Over 2.5
Qingdao West Coast
Dalian Yingbo
1.4–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Shandong Taishan
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Liaoning Tieren FC
Wuhan Three Towns
1.8–1.7
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420519171 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Beijing Guoan are favourites. They win 61.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22% for the draw and 16.5% for Qingdao Hainiu. Including the draw, Beijing Guoan avoid defeat 83.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win is 1-2 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.5% of simulations. Qingdao Hainiu keep a clean sheet 11.8% of the time and Beijing Guoan 35.1%.
The simulations average 3.25 goals: 1.06 for Qingdao Hainiu and 2.19 for Beijing Guoan. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.5% and over 3.5 goals 40.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
