We simulated Chengdu Rongcheng vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 100,000 times. Chengdu Rongcheng won 56,925 of them (56.9%), the draw came up 23.1% of the time and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 20%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.8%, while the likeliest Chengdu Rongcheng win is 1-0 (10.6%). Both teams score in 52.6% of simulations.
| Chengdu Rongcheng win | 56.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.1% |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win | 20% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.85 – 0.99 |
| Both teams to score | 52.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.7% |
| Chengdu Rongcheng score first | 60.5% |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger score first | 33.2% |
| Chengdu Rongcheng clean sheet | 37.5% |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger clean sheet | 16.3% |
Qingdao Hainiu
Beijing Guoan
1.1–2.2
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Shenzhen Peng City
Henan Songshan Longmen
1.5–1.5
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Zhejiang
Shanghai Port
1.9–1.8
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Shanghai Shenhua
Yunnan Yukun
2.8–1.6
xG
80%
Over 2.5
Qingdao West Coast
Dalian Yingbo
1.4–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Shandong Taishan
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Liaoning Tieren FC
Wuhan Three Towns
1.8–1.7
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420519285 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Chengdu Rongcheng are favourites. They win 56.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.1% for the draw and 20% for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger. Including the draw, Chengdu Rongcheng avoid defeat 80% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.8% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.6%) and 2-0 (9.9%). The likeliest Chengdu Rongcheng win is 1-0 (10.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.6% of simulations. Chengdu Rongcheng keep a clean sheet 37.5% of the time and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 16.3%.
The simulations average 2.84 goals: 1.85 for Chengdu Rongcheng and 0.99 for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.7% and over 3.5 goals 31.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
