We simulated Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet 100,000 times. Barnet won 40,126 of them (40.1%), the draw came up 25.2% of the time and Crewe Alexandra won 34.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.3%, while the likeliest Barnet win is 1-2 (8.5%). Both teams score in 63% of simulations.
| Crewe Alexandra win | 34.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.2% |
| Barnet win | 40.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.51 – 1.64 |
| Both teams to score | 63% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.6% |
| Crewe Alexandra score first | 47% |
| Barnet score first | 47.5% |
| Crewe Alexandra clean sheet | 19.9% |
| Barnet clean sheet | 22.5% |
Barnet
York City
1.8–1.3
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Newport County
Chesterfield
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Grimsby Town
York City
1.7–1.3
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Port Vale
Rochdale
1.7–0.8
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Salford City
Exeter City
1.9–0.8
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Oldham Athletic
Crawley Town
2.2–1.1
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Fleetwood Town
Bristol Rovers
1.5–1.3
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Colchester United
Walsall
1.4–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646633 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Barnet are favourites. They win 40.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.2% for the draw and 34.7% for Crewe Alexandra. Including the draw, Barnet avoid defeat 65.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.3% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.5%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest Barnet win is 1-2 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63% of simulations. Crewe Alexandra keep a clean sheet 19.9% of the time and Barnet 22.5%.
The simulations average 3.15 goals: 1.51 for Crewe Alexandra and 1.64 for Barnet. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.7% and over 3.5 goals 38.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
