We simulated Grimsby Town vs York City 100,000 times. Grimsby Town won 45,488 of them (45.5%), the draw came up 25.5% of the time and York City won 29.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.8%, while the likeliest Grimsby Town win is 2-1 (9.1%). Both teams score in 58.6% of simulations.
| Grimsby Town win | 45.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.5% |
| York City win | 29.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.66 – 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | 58.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Grimsby Town score first | 53% |
| York City score first | 40.7% |
| Grimsby Town clean sheet | 28.2% |
| York City clean sheet | 19.5% |
Barnet
York City
1.8–1.3
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Newport County
Chesterfield
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Port Vale
Rochdale
1.7–0.8
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Salford City
Exeter City
1.9–0.8
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Oldham Athletic
Crawley Town
2.2–1.1
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Fleetwood Town
Bristol Rovers
1.5–1.3
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Colchester United
Walsall
1.4–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Crewe Alexandra
Barnet
1.5–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646554 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Grimsby Town are favourites. They win 45.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.5% for the draw and 29.1% for York City. Including the draw, Grimsby Town avoid defeat 71% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.1%) and 1-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win is 2-1 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.6% of simulations. Grimsby Town keep a clean sheet 28.2% of the time and York City 19.5%.
The simulations average 2.94 goals: 1.66 for Grimsby Town and 1.28 for York City. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.1% and over 3.5 goals 34%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
