We simulated Salford City vs Exeter City 100,000 times. Salford City won 60,852 of them (60.9%), the draw came up 22.8% of the time and Exeter City won 16.4%. The most likely score is 1-0 (12.3%), and both teams score in 47.8% of simulations.
| Salford City win | 60.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.8% |
| Exeter City win | 16.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (12.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.86 – 0.84 |
| Both teams to score | 47.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.5% |
| Salford City score first | 63.2% |
| Exeter City score first | 29.8% |
| Salford City clean sheet | 43.5% |
| Exeter City clean sheet | 16.1% |
Barnet
York City
1.8–1.3
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Newport County
Chesterfield
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Grimsby Town
York City
1.7–1.3
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Port Vale
Rochdale
1.7–0.8
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Oldham Athletic
Crawley Town
2.2–1.1
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Fleetwood Town
Bristol Rovers
1.5–1.3
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Colchester United
Walsall
1.4–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Crewe Alexandra
Barnet
1.5–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646564 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Salford City are favourites. They win 60.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.8% for the draw and 16.4% for Exeter City. Including the draw, Salford City avoid defeat 83.6% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (11.5%) and 1-1 (10.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.8% of simulations. Salford City keep a clean sheet 43.5% of the time and Exeter City 16.1%.
The simulations average 2.69 goals: 1.86 for Salford City and 0.84 for Exeter City. Over 1.5 goals lands 75% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.3% and over 3.5 goals 28.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
