We simulated Oldham Athletic vs Crawley Town 100,000 times. Oldham Athletic won 60,469 of them (60.5%), the draw came up 20.6% of the time and Crawley Town won 19%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.6%), and both teams score in 59.5% of simulations.
| Oldham Athletic win | 60.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.6% |
| Crawley Town win | 19% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.16 – 1.13 |
| Both teams to score | 59.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.7% |
| Oldham Athletic score first | 60.6% |
| Crawley Town score first | 35.3% |
| Oldham Athletic clean sheet | 32.7% |
| Crawley Town clean sheet | 11.9% |
Barnet
York City
1.8–1.3
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Newport County
Chesterfield
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Grimsby Town
York City
1.7–1.3
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Port Vale
Rochdale
1.7–0.8
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Salford City
Exeter City
1.9–0.8
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Fleetwood Town
Bristol Rovers
1.5–1.3
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Colchester United
Walsall
1.4–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Crewe Alexandra
Barnet
1.5–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646566 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Oldham Athletic are favourites. They win 60.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.6% for the draw and 19% for Crawley Town. Including the draw, Oldham Athletic avoid defeat 81% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.5% of simulations. Oldham Athletic keep a clean sheet 32.7% of the time and Crawley Town 11.9%.
The simulations average 3.29 goals: 2.16 for Oldham Athletic and 1.13 for Crawley Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.5% and over 3.5 goals 41.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
