We simulated Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers 100,000 times. Fleetwood Town won 40,699 of them (40.7%), the draw came up 28% of the time and Bristol Rovers won 31.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.2%, while the likeliest Fleetwood Town win is 2-1 (8.7%). Both teams score in 55.6% of simulations.
| Fleetwood Town win | 40.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28% |
| Bristol Rovers win | 31.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.46 – 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | 55.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Fleetwood Town score first | 47.7% |
| Bristol Rovers score first | 44.2% |
| Fleetwood Town clean sheet | 28.9% |
| Bristol Rovers clean sheet | 23.6% |
Barnet
York City
1.8–1.3
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Newport County
Chesterfield
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Grimsby Town
York City
1.7–1.3
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Port Vale
Rochdale
1.7–0.8
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Salford City
Exeter City
1.9–0.8
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Oldham Athletic
Crawley Town
2.2–1.1
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Colchester United
Walsall
1.4–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Crewe Alexandra
Barnet
1.5–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646569 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Fleetwood Town are favourites. They win 40.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28% for the draw and 31.3% for Bristol Rovers. Including the draw, Fleetwood Town avoid defeat 68.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.7%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win is 2-1 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.6% of simulations. Fleetwood Town keep a clean sheet 28.9% of the time and Bristol Rovers 23.6%.
The simulations average 2.71 goals: 1.46 for Fleetwood Town and 1.25 for Bristol Rovers. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.8% and over 3.5 goals 29%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
