We simulated Los Angeles FC vs LA Galaxy 100,000 times. Los Angeles FC won 66,483 of them (66.5%), the draw came up 18.4% of the time and LA Galaxy won 15.1%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.3%), and both teams score in 59.8% of simulations.
| Los Angeles FC win | 66.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.4% |
| LA Galaxy win | 15.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.3%) |
| Expected goals | 2.43 – 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | 59.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 46.2% |
| Los Angeles FC score first | 65.6% |
| LA Galaxy score first | 30.6% |
| Los Angeles FC clean sheet | 34.5% |
| LA Galaxy clean sheet | 9.3% |
Cincinnati
DC United
2.5–1.4
xG
74%
Over 2.5
CF Montréal
Nashville SC
1.1–1.8
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Columbus Crew
Toronto
2.1–1.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
New York RB
Inter Miami
1.7–2.0
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Orlando City
New York City
1.8–1.4
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Atlanta United
Chicago Fire
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
New England
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Dallas
SJ Earthquakes
1.9–1.2
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510362 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Los Angeles FC are favourites. They win 66.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.4% for the draw and 15.1% for LA Galaxy. Including the draw, Los Angeles FC avoid defeat 84.9% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.3% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (8.8%) and 1-1 (8.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.8% of simulations. Los Angeles FC keep a clean sheet 34.5% of the time and LA Galaxy 9.3%.
The simulations average 3.50 goals: 2.43 for Los Angeles FC and 1.07 for LA Galaxy. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 67.5% and over 3.5 goals 46.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
