We simulated Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo 100,000 times. Minnesota United won 48,281 of them (48.3%), the draw came up 26% of the time and Houston Dynamo won 25.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.1%, while the likeliest Minnesota United win is 2-1 (9.4%). Both teams score in 59% of simulations.
| Minnesota United win | 48.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26% |
| Houston Dynamo win | 25.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.75 – 1.23 |
| Both teams to score | 59% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.7% |
| Minnesota United score first | 53.3% |
| Houston Dynamo score first | 40.2% |
| Minnesota United clean sheet | 29.7% |
| Houston Dynamo clean sheet | 17.9% |
Chicago Fire
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.6–1.7
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Toronto
CF Montréal
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
New York City
1.8–1.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
DC United
2.4–1.2
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
Real Salt Lake
2.6–1.0
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Charlotte
Dallas
1.8–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
New York RB
San Diego
1.7–1.6
xG
64%
Over 2.5
New England
Seattle Sounders
2.0–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510027 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Minnesota United are favourites. They win 48.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26% for the draw and 25.8% for Houston Dynamo. Including the draw, Minnesota United avoid defeat 74.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Minnesota United win is 2-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59% of simulations. Minnesota United keep a clean sheet 29.7% of the time and Houston Dynamo 17.9%.
The simulations average 2.97 goals: 1.75 for Minnesota United and 1.23 for Houston Dynamo. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.8% and over 3.5 goals 34.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
