We simulated New York RB vs San Diego 100,000 times. New York RB won 39,785 of them (39.8%), the draw came up 24.3% of the time and San Diego won 35.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.7%, while the likeliest New York RB win is 2-1 (8.3%). Both teams score in 65.4% of simulations.
| New York RB win | 39.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.3% |
| San Diego win | 35.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.70 – 1.61 |
| Both teams to score | 65.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% |
| New York RB score first | 50.9% |
| San Diego score first | 44.4% |
| New York RB clean sheet | 20.5% |
| San Diego clean sheet | 18.7% |
Chicago Fire
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.6–1.7
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Toronto
CF Montréal
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
New York City
1.8–1.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
DC United
2.4–1.2
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
Real Salt Lake
2.6–1.0
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Charlotte
Dallas
1.8–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
New England
Seattle Sounders
2.0–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Atlanta United
Cincinnati
1.9–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510079 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
New York RB are favourites. They win 39.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.3% for the draw and 35.9% for San Diego. Including the draw, New York RB avoid defeat 64.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.3%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest New York RB win is 2-1 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.4% of simulations. New York RB keep a clean sheet 20.5% of the time and San Diego 18.7%.
The simulations average 3.31 goals: 1.70 for New York RB and 1.61 for San Diego. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.9% and over 3.5 goals 42%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
