We simulated New England vs Seattle Sounders 100,000 times. New England won 54,885 of them (54.9%), the draw came up 23.4% of the time and Seattle Sounders won 21.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.7%, while the likeliest New England win is 2-1 (9.6%). Both teams score in 59.4% of simulations.
| New England win | 54.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.4% |
| Seattle Sounders win | 21.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.96 – 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | 59.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.1% |
| New England score first | 56.9% |
| Seattle Sounders score first | 37.5% |
| New England clean sheet | 31.5% |
| Seattle Sounders clean sheet | 14.5% |
Chicago Fire
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.6–1.7
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Toronto
CF Montréal
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
New York City
1.8–1.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
DC United
2.4–1.2
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
Real Salt Lake
2.6–1.0
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Charlotte
Dallas
1.8–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
New York RB
San Diego
1.7–1.6
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Atlanta United
Cincinnati
1.9–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510088 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
New England are favourites. They win 54.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.4% for the draw and 21.7% for Seattle Sounders. Including the draw, New England avoid defeat 78.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest New England win is 2-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.4% of simulations. New England keep a clean sheet 31.5% of the time and Seattle Sounders 14.5%.
The simulations average 3.13 goals: 1.96 for New England and 1.17 for Seattle Sounders. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.2% and over 3.5 goals 38.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
