We simulated Toronto vs CF Montréal 100,000 times. Toronto won 53,141 of them (53.1%), the draw came up 23% of the time and CF Montréal won 23.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.2%, while the likeliest Toronto win is 2-1 (9.4%). Both teams score in 63.5% of simulations.
| Toronto win | 53.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23% |
| CF Montréal win | 23.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.03 – 1.31 |
| Both teams to score | 63.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.7% |
| Toronto score first | 53.7% |
| CF Montréal score first | 41.9% |
| Toronto clean sheet | 27.4% |
| CF Montréal clean sheet | 13.6% |
Chicago Fire
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.6–1.7
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
New York City
1.8–1.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
DC United
2.4–1.2
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
Real Salt Lake
2.6–1.0
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Charlotte
Dallas
1.8–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
New York RB
San Diego
1.7–1.6
xG
64%
Over 2.5
New England
Seattle Sounders
2.0–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Atlanta United
Cincinnati
1.9–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510097 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Toronto are favourites. They win 53.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23% for the draw and 23.9% for CF Montréal. Including the draw, Toronto avoid defeat 76.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Toronto win is 2-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63.5% of simulations. Toronto keep a clean sheet 27.4% of the time and CF Montréal 13.6%.
The simulations average 3.34 goals: 2.03 for Toronto and 1.31 for CF Montréal. Over 1.5 goals lands 85% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.4% and over 3.5 goals 42.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
