We simulated Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps 100,000 times. Vancouver Whitecaps won 38,513 of them (38.5%), the draw came up 24.8% of the time and Chicago Fire won 36.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.9%, while the likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win is 1-2 (8.2%). Both teams score in 65.7% of simulations.
| Chicago Fire win | 36.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.8% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps win | 38.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.63 – 1.67 |
| Both teams to score | 65.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% |
| Chicago Fire score first | 48.4% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps score first | 46.9% |
| Chicago Fire clean sheet | 19.2% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet | 20% |
Toronto
CF Montréal
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
New York City
1.8–1.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
DC United
2.4–1.2
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
Real Salt Lake
2.6–1.0
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Charlotte
Dallas
1.8–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
New York RB
San Diego
1.7–1.6
xG
64%
Over 2.5
New England
Seattle Sounders
2.0–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Atlanta United
Cincinnati
1.9–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510148 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Vancouver Whitecaps are favourites. They win 38.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.8% for the draw and 36.7% for Chicago Fire. Including the draw, Vancouver Whitecaps avoid defeat 63.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.9% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.2%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win is 1-2 (8.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.7% of simulations. Chicago Fire keep a clean sheet 19.2% of the time and Vancouver Whitecaps 20%.
The simulations average 3.30 goals: 1.63 for Chicago Fire and 1.67 for Vancouver Whitecaps. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.8% and over 3.5 goals 42%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
