We simulated Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake 100,000 times. Philadelphia Union won 71,487 of them (71.5%), the draw came up 16.3% of the time and Real Salt Lake won 12.2%. The most likely score is 2-0 (9.6%), and both teams score in 56.6% of simulations.
| Philadelphia Union win | 71.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 16.3% |
| Real Salt Lake win | 12.2% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (9.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.57 – 0.96 |
| Both teams to score | 56.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 46.8% |
| Philadelphia Union score first | 66.4% |
| Real Salt Lake score first | 30.4% |
| Philadelphia Union clean sheet | 38.5% |
| Real Salt Lake clean sheet | 8.1% |
Chicago Fire
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.6–1.7
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Toronto
CF Montréal
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
New York City
1.8–1.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
DC United
2.4–1.2
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Charlotte
Dallas
1.8–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
New York RB
San Diego
1.7–1.6
xG
64%
Over 2.5
New England
Seattle Sounders
2.0–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Atlanta United
Cincinnati
1.9–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510052 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Philadelphia Union are favourites. They win 71.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.3% for the draw and 12.2% for Real Salt Lake. Including the draw, Philadelphia Union avoid defeat 87.8% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (8.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.6% of simulations. Philadelphia Union keep a clean sheet 38.5% of the time and Real Salt Lake 8.1%.
The simulations average 3.53 goals: 2.57 for Philadelphia Union and 0.96 for Real Salt Lake. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68% and over 3.5 goals 46.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
