We simulated Chicago Fire vs New York City 100,000 times. Chicago Fire won 53,438 of them (53.4%), the draw came up 24% of the time and New York City won 22.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.2%, while the likeliest Chicago Fire win is 2-1 (9.6%). Both teams score in 56.7% of simulations.
| Chicago Fire win | 53.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24% |
| New York City win | 22.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.84 – 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | 56.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.4% |
| Chicago Fire score first | 58.4% |
| New York City score first | 35.5% |
| Chicago Fire clean sheet | 33% |
| New York City clean sheet | 16.4% |
Chicago Fire
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.6–1.7
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Toronto
CF Montréal
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
DC United
2.4–1.2
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
Real Salt Lake
2.6–1.0
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Charlotte
Dallas
1.8–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
New York RB
San Diego
1.7–1.6
xG
64%
Over 2.5
New England
Seattle Sounders
2.0–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Atlanta United
Cincinnati
1.9–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420509949 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Chicago Fire are favourites. They win 53.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24% for the draw and 22.6% for New York City. Including the draw, Chicago Fire avoid defeat 77.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win is 2-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.7% of simulations. Chicago Fire keep a clean sheet 33% of the time and New York City 16.4%.
The simulations average 2.96 goals: 1.84 for Chicago Fire and 1.12 for New York City. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.5% and over 3.5 goals 34.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
