We simulated Portland Timbers vs Charlotte 100,000 times. Portland Timbers won 53,247 of them (53.3%), the draw came up 22% of the time and Charlotte won 24.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.1%, while the likeliest Portland Timbers win is 2-1 (8.9%). Both teams score in 68.1% of simulations.
| Portland Timbers win | 53.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22% |
| Charlotte win | 24.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.1%) |
| Expected goals | 2.18 – 1.45 |
| Both teams to score | 68.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 49% |
| Portland Timbers score first | 56.4% |
| Charlotte score first | 40.2% |
| Portland Timbers clean sheet | 23.8% |
| Charlotte clean sheet | 11.7% |
Cincinnati
DC United
2.5–1.4
xG
74%
Over 2.5
CF Montréal
Nashville SC
1.1–1.8
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Columbus Crew
Toronto
2.1–1.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
New York RB
Inter Miami
1.7–2.0
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Orlando City
New York City
1.8–1.4
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Atlanta United
Chicago Fire
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
New England
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Dallas
SJ Earthquakes
1.9–1.2
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420509979 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Portland Timbers are favourites. They win 53.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22% for the draw and 24.8% for Charlotte. Including the draw, Portland Timbers avoid defeat 75.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.9%) and 3-1 (6.5%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win is 2-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 68.1% of simulations. Portland Timbers keep a clean sheet 23.8% of the time and Charlotte 11.7%.
The simulations average 3.63 goals: 2.18 for Portland Timbers and 1.45 for Charlotte. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 69.9% and over 3.5 goals 49%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
