We simulated Rotherham United vs Gillingham 100,000 times. Rotherham United won 53,446 of them (53.5%), the draw came up 25.6% of the time and Gillingham won 20.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.1%, while the likeliest Rotherham United win is 1-0 (11%). Both teams score in 51% of simulations.
| Rotherham United win | 53.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.6% |
| Gillingham win | 20.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.70 – 0.97 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.9% |
| Rotherham United score first | 58.3% |
| Gillingham score first | 34.1% |
| Rotherham United clean sheet | 38.2% |
| Gillingham clean sheet | 18.8% |
Swindon Town
Crewe Alexandra
1.4–1.3
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Oldham Athletic
Accrington Stanley
1.9–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Fleetwood Town
Walsall
1.5–1.2
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Cheltenham Town
Salford City
1.3–1.8
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Newport County
Colchester United
1.5–1.3
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Port Vale
Grimsby Town
1.4–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Crawley Town
Chesterfield
1.2–2.0
xG
61%
Over 2.5
York City
Northampton Town
2.0–0.8
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646870 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Rotherham United are favourites. They win 53.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.6% for the draw and 20.9% for Gillingham. Including the draw, Rotherham United avoid defeat 79.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11%) and 2-0 (9.9%). The likeliest Rotherham United win is 1-0 (11%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51% of simulations. Rotherham United keep a clean sheet 38.2% of the time and Gillingham 18.8%.
The simulations average 2.67 goals: 1.70 for Rotherham United and 0.97 for Gillingham. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.6% and over 3.5 goals 27.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
