We simulated Abha vs Al Faisaly 100,000 times. Abha won 43,670 of them (43.7%), the draw came up 28.1% of the time and Al Faisaly won 28.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.3%, while the likeliest Abha win is 1-0 (10.3%). Both teams score in 51.7% of simulations.
| Abha win | 43.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.1% |
| Al Faisaly win | 28.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.44 – 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | 51.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.5% |
| Abha score first | 51% |
| Al Faisaly score first | 40.1% |
| Abha clean sheet | 33.3% |
| Al Faisaly clean sheet | 24% |
Al Kholood
Al-Qadsiah
1.1–2.1
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Al Fateh
Al Ahli
1.1–2.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Al Nassr
Al Diraiyah FC
2.1–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Al Hazm
NEOM SC
1.0–1.7
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Al Ettifaq
Al Khaleej
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Al Hilal
Al Ittihad
2.6–1.0
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Al-Fayha
Al Riyadh
1.5–1.3
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Al Shabab
Al Taawoun
1.7–1.5
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420635979 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Abha are favourites. They win 43.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.1% for the draw and 28.2% for Al Faisaly. Including the draw, Abha avoid defeat 71.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.3% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.3%) and 0-0 (9%). The likeliest Abha win is 1-0 (10.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.7% of simulations. Abha keep a clean sheet 33.3% of the time and Al Faisaly 24%.
The simulations average 2.56 goals: 1.44 for Abha and 1.11 for Al Faisaly. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.9% and over 3.5 goals 25.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
