We simulated Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh 100,000 times. Al-Fayha won 42,756 of them (42.8%), the draw came up 27.1% of the time and Al Riyadh won 30.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.7%, while the likeliest Al-Fayha win is 2-1 (8.9%). Both teams score in 56.6% of simulations.
| Al-Fayha win | 42.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.1% |
| Al Riyadh win | 30.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.54 – 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | 56.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.6% |
| Al-Fayha score first | 52.1% |
| Al Riyadh score first | 40.8% |
| Al-Fayha clean sheet | 28.9% |
| Al Riyadh clean sheet | 22% |
Al Kholood
Al-Qadsiah
1.1–2.1
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Al Fateh
Al Ahli
1.1–2.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Al Nassr
Al Diraiyah FC
2.1–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Al Hazm
NEOM SC
1.0–1.7
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Al Ettifaq
Al Khaleej
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Al Hilal
Al Ittihad
2.6–1.0
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Abha
Al Faisaly
1.4–1.1
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Al Shabab
Al Taawoun
1.7–1.5
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420636060 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al-Fayha are favourites. They win 42.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.1% for the draw and 30.2% for Al Riyadh. Including the draw, Al-Fayha avoid defeat 69.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Al-Fayha win is 2-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.6% of simulations. Al-Fayha keep a clean sheet 28.9% of the time and Al Riyadh 22%.
The simulations average 2.79 goals: 1.54 for Al-Fayha and 1.25 for Al Riyadh. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.6% and over 3.5 goals 30.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
